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Market Cycle Analysis

Bitcoin below the Previous ATH

In the 2022 bear market, Bitcoin broke below its 2017 peak of ~$20k. We analyzed daily OHLC data to measure exactly how long it stayed in this historic zone.

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Prior ATH Level
$19,892

2017 intraday high (Dec 17, 2017)

Total Days Below
114

Accumulated across 11 separate streaks

Longest Streak
66 days

Uninterrupted daily closes

Source: Coinbase Exchange BTC-USD daily candles, checked-in snapshot checked Jul 26, 2026.

Bear Market Cycle Comparison

Peak-to-bottom intraday prices. These are separate from the previous-ATH daily-close streak calculated below.

2018 Cycle

Peak (Dec 17, 2017)$19,892
Bottom (Dec 15, 2018)$3,129
Max Drawdown-84.3%

2022 Cycle

Peak (Nov 10, 2021)$69,000
Bottom (Nov 21, 2022)$15,460
Max Drawdown-77.6%

Source: Coinbase Exchange BTC-USD daily candles (UTC intraday highs and lows), checked Sep 23, 2026. The 2014 cycle predates this data source and is not shown.

Key Takeaway

These two completed cycles had roughly 78%–84% peak-to-trough declines and later exceeded their prior peaks. That small historical sample does not predict another recovery or its timing.

Daily close vs the previous ATH level

Green is the Coinbase BTC-USD daily close on the first day of each month. Red shading marks periods below the 2017 ATH threshold; streak counts use every daily close.

Range: Jan 1, 2021 → Dec 31, 2023 (UTC)
Bear Market Timeline

Key Events During the Bear Market

Selected events from the 2022–2023 crypto bear market, in date order, each linked to its source.

May 2022

Terra / UST Collapse

The algorithmic stablecoin UST depegged from the U.S. dollar, and the price of it and its sister tokens fell close to zero.

Source: SEC press release 2023-32
Jul 5, 2022BTC ~$20,200

Voyager Digital Bankruptcy

Crypto platform Voyager Digital filed for Chapter 11, citing prolonged market volatility and the default of Three Arrows Capital on a loan from its subsidiary.

Source: Voyager Digital announcement
Jul 13, 2022BTC ~$20,200

Celsius Bankruptcy

Crypto lender Celsius Network and certain affiliates filed for Chapter 11 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of New York.

Source: Celsius Chapter 11 case (Stretto)
Nov 11, 2022BTC ~$17,000

FTX Bankruptcy

FTX, which had acquired the Blockfolio app in 2020, filed for bankruptcy with most of its affiliates. In December, the CFTC charged FTX, Alameda Research, and Sam Bankman-Fried with fraud.

Source: CFTC history, 2020s
Jan 13, 2023BTC ~$19,900

Daily Close Reclaims Prior ATH Level

The measured below-ATH streak ended on Jan 12; the next UTC daily close was back above the 2017 intraday-high threshold used in this analysis.

Source: Coinbase Exchange daily candles
Jan 19, 2023BTC ~$21,100

Genesis Bankruptcy

Genesis Global Holdco and two lending subsidiaries, Genesis Global Capital and Genesis Asia Pacific, filed for Chapter 11.

Source: Genesis client update
Mar 12, 2023BTC ~$22,200

Banking Stress (SVB, Signature)

Signature Bank was closed by its state regulator, and U.S. authorities said all depositors of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank would be protected.

Source: Treasury, Federal Reserve and FDIC joint statement

BTC prices are Coinbase Exchange BTC-USD daily closes (UTC) on each dated event, rounded to the nearest $100 and checked Sep 23, 2026.

The Quick Answer

Using BTCUSD daily closes versus the prior cycle’s ATH, Bitcoin’s longest stretch spent below water was 66 days.This streak ran from Nov 8, 2022 to Jan 12, 2023.

Top 5 Streaks

#1
Nov 8, 2022 → Jan 12, 2023
66 days
#2
Oct 7, 2022 → Oct 24, 2022
18 days
#3
Sep 18, 2022 → Oct 3, 2022
16 days
#4
Sep 5, 2022 → Sep 8, 2022
4 days
#5
Jul 1, 2022 → Jul 3, 2022
3 days

Daily Breakdown

Each square represents one day. Green = closed above the prior ATH; red = closed below.

1,095 UTC days from Jan 1, 2021 to Dec 31, 2023: 981 closed above the prior ATH and 114 closed below it.
Above ATH
Below ATH

What If You Bought The Dip?

Compare two approximate one-time purchase points

Investment amount

Bought at 2021 ATH

Nov 2021 peak ($69k)

$1,182
+18.2% ROI
Invested: $1,0000.0145 BTC
Bought at 2022 Bottom

Nov 2022 low ($15.5k)

$5,261
+426.1% ROI
Invested: $1,0000.0645 BTC

Simplified lump-sum illustration, not a DCA calculation or financial advice. Entry prices are rounded historical reference points. Values use $81,544 per BTC (Coinbase BTC-USD spot fetched Oct 17, 2026, 9:49 AM UTC).

Drawdown & Recovery

How deep did Bitcoin fall from its Nov 2021 ATH, and how long did the climb back take?

Max Drawdown Depth

-77.6%
ATH (Nov 2021)
$69,000
Bottom (Nov 2022)
$15,460
Recovery Time
~15 months
Bottom to new ATH

Recovery Milestones

0%
Cycle Bottom
Nov 2022
$15,460
25%
25% Recovery
Mar 2023
$28,845
50%
50% Recovery
Dec 2023
$42,230
75%
75% Recovery
Feb 2024
$55,615
100%
Full Recovery
Mar 2024
$69,000
Bottom ($15.5k)ATH ($69k)
Full recovery achieved in ~15 months (Nov 21, 2022 to Mar 5, 2024)

Methodology

Defining the Level

We use the 2017 peak intraday high of $19,892.

The Rule

A 'day below' is counted when the daily close is strictly lower than the ATH level.

Data Source

Coinbase Exchange BTC-USD daily candles, checked-in snapshot checked Jul 26, 2026. Analysis counts UTC calendar days. The chart plots first-of-month closes, while streak totals use every daily close.

View the market-data source

Common Questions

What’s the “previous all-time high” in this analysis?

The previous cycle’s ATH is taken as the 2017 peak intraday high (BTCUSD daily “High”) from Coinbase Exchange BTC-USD daily candles, checked-in snapshot checked Jul 26, 2026.

So how many days did Bitcoin stay below that level in the last cycle?

Using daily closes vs that prior ATH level, the longest uninterrupted streak below it lasted 66 days (Nov 8, 2022 → Jan 12, 2023).

Why might other websites show a slightly different number?

ATH values and daily closes differ by exchange/index, time zone cutoffs, and whether you measure intraday highs/lows vs closing prices.

Is this financial advice?

No. This page is informational only and doesn’t predict future prices or cycles.

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